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Real Sector

MANDATE

The strategic role of the Real Sector Division (RSD) is to serve as the Ministry’s lead technical Division for macro-structural analysis, sector productivity assessment, fiscal-real sector policy coordination, and evidence-based evaluation of growth dynamics within the Ghanaian economy. The Division supports the Ministry’s mandate by providing timely and evidence-based economic assessments, sectoral analyses, policy advice, and stakeholder coordination across key real sector areas, including agriculture, industry, services, energy, climate change, infrastructure, and social protection.

The Division was established on 15th April 2025 following a reorganisation exercise within the Ministry of Finance aimed at strengthening the Ministry’s capacity to effectively deliver on its core mandate of setting economic strategy and managing the public purse. The Division is established in line with Section 7(3)(a) of the Public Financial Management Regulations, 2019 (L.I. 2378) which identifies the Real, Fiscal, Monetary, and External sectors as key components of the economy.

 

VISION

To become a regionally respected centre of excellence for real sector policy analysis, growth diagnostics, and structural transformation strategy within Africa.

 

MISSION

To formulate and implement policies that promote stability, create jobs, foster competitiveness in the real sector and services, and reduce poverty.

 

STRATEGIC OBJECTIVES:

In line with the Ministry’s mandate of ensuring macroeconomic stability, fiscal sustainability, and structural economic transformation, the Real Sector Division shall pursue the following strategic objectives:

  • Provide high-level technical and strategic policy advice on developments, risks, and opportunities within Ghana’s real economy to support evidence-based macroeconomic and fiscal decision-making;
     
  • Strengthen real sector analytics through the application of data-driven planning, econometric analysis, forecasting models, and medium- to long-term growth diagnostics;
     
  • Monitor, evaluate, and assess the performance, productivity, competitiveness, and fiscal implications of key real sector subsectors, including agriculture, industry, services, infrastructure, energy, and social protection;
     
  • Support the integration of real sector dynamics into national fiscal strategy, medium-term expenditure frameworks, debt sustainability analysis, and macroeconomic policy formulation;
     
  • Enhance intersectoral coordination and stakeholder collaboration among MDAs, development partners, private sector institutions, and international organisations on matters relating to structural transformation and sustainable development;
     
  • Identify, assess, and monitor fiscal and macro-structural risks arising from developments within the real sectors of the economy, including climate-related, commodity-price, infrastructure, and employment risks;
     
  • Promote sustainable growth, green transition policies, climate resilience, ESG integration, and inclusive economic transformation within the national development framework; and
     
  • Conduct advanced policy research and disseminate analytical findings on emerging economic, productivity, employment, competitiveness, and structural transformation issues affecting Ghana’s economy.
     

FUNCTIONS:

To achieve its mandate and strategic objectives, the Division shall perform the following functions:

  1. undertake advanced policy analysis, macro-structural assessments, and sector diagnostics on developments within the real economy to support evidence-based policymaking and fiscal planning;
     
  2. develop, maintain, and update analytical databases, forecasting systems, macroeconomic models, and real sector indicators for policy analysis, monitoring, and strategic planning purposes;
     
  3. conduct sectoral growth analysis, productivity assessments, competitiveness benchmarking, labour market analysis, and employment elasticity studies across the real sectors of the economy;
     
  4. monitor and evaluate the implementation, effectiveness, and fiscal implications of government programmes, sector reforms, flagship initiatives, and public investment interventions within the real sector;
     
  5. undertake fiscal risk assessments and scenario analysis relating to commodity prices, climate change, infrastructure financing, energy markets, agricultural production, and other macro-structural vulnerabilities;
     
  6. coordinate technical engagements with Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs), development partners, private sector institutions, academia, civil society organizations, and regional and international institutions on real sector policy matters;
     
  7. provide technical inputs into the preparation of the Budget Statement and Economic Policy, Fiscal Strategy Documents, Mid-Year Reviews, national development frameworks, and other strategic policy documents;
     
  8. conduct analytical research and prepare policy briefs, technical papers, Cabinet memoranda, speeches, presentations, and advisory notes for Management and policymakers;
     
  9. support the formulation, review, harmonization, and amendment of policies, legislation, regulatory frameworks, and strategic initiatives relating to agriculture, industry, services, infrastructure, energy, climate change, and social protection sectors;
     
  10. promote knowledge management, dissemination of analytical outputs, stakeholder sensitization, and institutional learning on developments affecting Ghana’s real economy;
     
  11. support climate finance analysis, ESG integration, extractive sector transparency initiatives, and sustainable development policy coordination within the Ministry’s macro-fiscal framework; and
     
  12. undertake any other technical, analytical, policy coordination, or strategic assignments that may be directed by Management in furtherance of the Ministry’s mandate.

 

STRUCTURE OF THE DIVISION:

The Division is comprised of the Office of the Director and the following eight (8) Units:

  • Growth Analytics Unit;
  • Mining and Industry Unit;
  • Road and Transport Infrastructure Unit;
  • Services Sector Unit;
  • Social Protection and Jobs Unit;
  • Agriculture and Economic Crops Unit;
  • Energy and Petroleum Unit; and
  • Climate, ESG and GHEITI Unit.

 

KEY DELIVERABLES:

In fulfilment of its mandate and strategic objectives, the Real Sector Division shall produce and coordinate the following key outputs and deliverables to support evidence-based policymaking, macroeconomic management, fiscal planning, and sustainable economic transformation:

  1. Quarterly and annual real sector performance reports assessing developments, trends, risks, and opportunities across key sectors of the Ghanaian economy;
     
  2. Medium- to long-term GDP projections, sectoral growth forecasts, and macro-structural outlook assessments to support national economic planning and fiscal policy formulation;
     
  3. Policy briefs, technical papers, analytical studies, and research publications on emerging real sector developments, structural transformation issues, and macroeconomic trends;
     
  4. Growth decomposition analysis, productivity assessments, competitiveness evaluations, and integrated macroeconomic dashboards to support data-driven decision-making;
     
  5. Technical inputs and analytical support for the preparation of the Fiscal Strategy Document, Budget Statement and Economic Policy, Mid-Year Fiscal Policy Review, Coordinated Programme documents, and other strategic Ministry policy frameworks;
     
  6. Fiscal risk assessments, scenario analysis, and analytical notes relating to developments within the real sectors of the economy, including agriculture, energy, infrastructure, commodity markets, employment, and climate-related risks;
     
  7. Technical reports and analytical assessments on climate finance, ESG implementation, green growth initiatives, carbon transition policies, and extractive sector transparency and governance frameworks;
     
  8. Quarterly and annual sectoral performance reports covering agriculture, agro-processing, tourism, trade, transport infrastructure, mining, manufacturing, energy, industry, services, employment, and social protection sectors;
     
  9. Monitoring, evaluation, and impact assessment reports on government flagship programmes, strategic interventions, sector reforms, and public investment initiatives within the real economy;
     
  10. Petroleum revenue projections, reconciliation reports, sector performance assessments, and statutory analytical reports prepared in accordance with the Petroleum Revenue Management Act and related policy frameworks;
     
  11. Stakeholder consultation reports, technical committee reports, inter-agency coordination reports, and policy dialogue outcomes relating to real sector development and economic transformation;
     
  12.  Development and maintenance of integrated databases, forecasting systems, analytical models, and digital monitoring platforms on real sector indicators, infrastructure investments, and sector performance metrics;
     
  13. Employment diagnostics, labour market analysis, workforce productivity studies, and job creation assessments to support inclusive growth and human capital development strategies;
     
  14.  Technical capacity-building programmes, policy engagement forums, stakeholder sensitization workshops, and institutional strengthening initiatives for both internal and external stakeholders;
     
  15. Policy frameworks, technical guidelines, reform proposals, regulatory reviews, and strategic initiatives relating to real sector development, competitiveness enhancement, and structural transformation;
     
  16. Speeches, presentations, Cabinet memoranda, briefing notes, talking points, and strategic advisory notes for Management, policymakers, and Government leadership;
     
  17. Macroeconomic, sectoral, and fiscal-real sector modelling outputs, including forecasting frameworks, scenario simulations, stress testing models, and policy simulation tools;
     
  18. Productivity analytics, competitiveness benchmarking, value-chain assessments, and sector efficiency analysis to support evidence-based economic transformation strategies;
     
  19. Growth diagnostic studies, structural bottleneck analysis, and economic resilience assessments aimed at identifying constraints to sustainable and inclusive growth; and
     
  20. Impact evaluation and outcome-based assessments of key Government programmes, public investments, and policy interventions to measure effectiveness, fiscal implications, socioeconomic outcomes, and contribution toward national development objectives.